Friday, May 23, 2025

History of Decline and Fall?

  Paul Krugman states what the vital American issue is:

The question is what happens if investors change their minds — if they decide that we’re an unserious country in which the governing party believes in voodoo economics and the president is an authoritarian ruler who spends much of his time rage-tweeting about popular musicians.

And what may happen: 

Right now I’m worried that the U.S. might be facing an emerging-market-type crisis: A “sudden stop,” an abrupt cutoff of inflows of foreign capital. If we have a crisis like that it could, in particular, cause a severe housing crash.

And reminds us of  something called Dornbusch's law:

"The crisis takes a much longer time coming than you think, and then it happens much faster than you could have thought."


 


 

 
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