I'm old enough to remember the first Quebec independence referendum in 1980, and it was a scary time. "I fear a PQ majority above all," I had written in a note to myself on the eve of the 1976 election that did, in fact, produce a PQ majority. And the next four years were surely the high point of the independence movement. The rejection of the independence referendum 40%/60% was no small relief to me. I guess I have been glad about that result ever since.
I feared it because I took it very seriously. Quebec had been going through an enormous change through the 1960s and 1970s. For a century before that, there had been a sort of consensus in francophone Quebec that what guarded its survival was being at base a rural, traditional, agricultural, and Catholic society.
Of course Quebec was never that monolithic, and the "revolution" of the 1960 was partly the decision of modern, urban Quebeckers to stop pretending that real Quebecers lived on small farms with big families beside even bigger churches. But Quebec's rapid shift from traditional values to modern ones, if one can put it so simply, must have been profoundly unsettling.
Had the change in Quebec doomed it to being swallowed up by Canada and by North America and ceasing to be seriously different --that was the vital question? Did modernity just make assimilation so much more likely? If it did, then independence leading to a strong state able to create new institutions for a new kind of Quebec seemed absolutely essential to many Quebeckers.
If I had accepted that an independent state was the essential condition for a thriving, growing and evolving French-speaking society in Quebec, I might have accepted independence as a regrettable necessary. I didn't accept it, however. I believed Canada and confederation need not be a threat to that kind of Quebec.
And in the long run I guess I was right. There has been another referendum in Quebec, and several PQ majorities. But by then I was pretty confident that the new Quebec had rooted itself beyond challenge, and with that certainty the case for independence being essential faded. I did not take the election of Paul St-Pierre Plamondon with any of the anxiety that the election of Rene Levesque produced in me.
It it has been the same with the independence movement in Alberta. I confess I have never taken its cause or its leaders very seriously at any time. The polls have not yet closed in Alberta as I write this. I certainly have some concern about the outcome. I mean no disrespect to the people of Alberta, but I don't respect Alberta's claim to need independence the way I did Quebec's claim forty five years ago. And I can't think of any significant thing independence would achieve for Albertans if it did, God forbid, become independent. On verra.
Update, next morning. First thing I read on awakening was raw numbers and a separatist leader saying, "We are not going anywhere." And I had to laugh. Truer words were never spoken. These days, with unlimited cash and lots of organizing, you could elect a ham sandwich to high office. At 24% after all their scheming, these guys are truly going nowhere.
And Helen Webberley writes from Oz:
I can see from The Guardian that the vote for Albertan independence was significantly defeated. This seems a very sensible outcome because unless a province is isolated geographically (eg an island off the coast), it would split the nation internally. Imagine at the border having to ask other Canadians to check their passports, visas and police records.
Also think of Alberta having to pay for staff and a building for its own embassies, delegates to United Nations, World Health Organisation, World Health Organisation, North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, etc., etc.
Worst of all, if the USA invades and moves the American border north as they have promised, who would defend the new Albertan nation?
Molly Ungar comments, October 20:
Anyone interested in understanding Quebec’s (or Alberta’s) desires for independence needs to consult Denys Arcand’s excellent film “Comfort and Indifference”.
I think I prefer Arcand's "Decline of the American Empire" -- more prescient! Wikipedia on Comfort and Indifference: "The film takes the position that the referendum result [1980] was a failure of courage and that the Quebecois were numbed by prosperity and the Machiavellian manipulations of federalist leaders." Really?